According to The Kobeissi Letter, the S&P 500 ETF (VOO) recorded $20.9 billion in net inflows last month, setting a 15-year record and more than tripling the $6.4 billion of March. Bloomberg notes this ranks as the fifth largest monthly inflow for any fund in history. For crypto traders, this unprecedented move of capital into equities highlights shifting institutional risk appetite and could dampen short-term flows into digital assets, especially Bitcoin and Ethereum, as investors prioritize traditional markets. However, sustained equity inflows may eventually rotate profits back into crypto, increasing volatility and trading opportunities. (Source: The Kobeissi Letter via Twitter, Bloomberg)

According to Eric Balchunas, SPY is rallying again following strong April jobs growth, marking a potential ninth consecutive day of gains and a cumulative 15% rise since Black Monday on April 7th (source: Eric Balchunas on Twitter, May 2, 2025). This sustained uptrend signals strong bullish sentiment in the S&P 500 ETF, with traders watching closely for a breakout continuation and monitoring key resistance levels. The positive correlation between economic data and equity performance reinforces risk-on appetite among market participants.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, the 1-month correlation between the S&P 500 ETF (SPY), the popular bond ETF (TLT), and the US Dollar Index (DXY) has surged to 0.2 points, reaching the highest level in at least six years (source: The Kobeissi Letter, April 28, 2025). This marks a significant reversal from a previous negative correlation of -0.3, signaling a potential shift in market behavior. Traders should note that higher correlations across equities, bonds, and the dollar may reduce diversification benefits and could indicate increased risk-on or risk-off moves impacting all major asset classes simultaneously. This development warrants close monitoring for portfolio hedging and risk management strategies.

According to The Kobeissi Letter, there was a notable $10 million spike in put options on the S&P 500 ETF ($SPY) shortly after the White House announced a press briefing with a 'Special Guest'. This activity mirrors a similar trend previously observed in $QQQ options before Nvidia's announcements, indicating potential market volatility. Traders should closely monitor these developments for strategic positioning.